ESOFV La Roche vs Chauray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+132%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
4º
12º
12º
43
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
43 | 43 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 42 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
40.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
7º
|
40.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 32 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
36.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
21.5% | 44% |
|
Relegation
|
78.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESOFV La Roche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
1 - 0
ESO
38%
22%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LRO
4 - 1
ESO
32%
22%
46%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ESO
2 - 0
SNA
62%
19%
19%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SCB
1 - 2
ESO
20%
20%
61%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ESO
0 - 4
CHA
53%
22%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Chauray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CHA
2 - 1
LAT
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 2
CHA
75%
16%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 0
SNA
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FON
0 - 0
CHA
83%
12%
5%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |