ESMTK vs RAFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
DIO
0 - 3
ESM
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ESM
4 - 1
BSC
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GZM
0 - 2
ESM
9%
17%
73%
|
40 | 12 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ESM
1 - 1
BIA
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ERD
0 - 1
ESM
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
RAFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 1
TRK
54%
24%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
UJB
1 - 0
RAF
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
RAF
2 - 1
PEN
18%
23%
60%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 1
RAF
74%
17%
9%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
DIO
3 - 0
RAF
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |