ESMTK vs BKV Előre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
2º
9º
2º
46
3º
15º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DAB
0 - 6
ESM
18%
21%
61%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ESM
1 - 0
FHV
7%
15%
77%
|
43 | 71 | 28 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ESM
2 - 1
HON
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MLS
3 - 2
ESM
8%
15%
76%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ESM
5 - 0
FUZ
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
BKV Előre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BKV
0 - 1
SZO
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
BKV
0 - 7
PAK
2%
5%
93%
|
29 | 73 | 44 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BKV
1 - 1
DAB
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HON
1 - 3
BKV
74%
16%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +2 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
BKV
0 - 2
MLS
86%
10%
4%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | -1 |