Erith & Belvedere vs Maldon & Tiptree analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
67.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erith & Belvedere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DER
4 - 1
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
ERI
0 - 2
HAR
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
WHI
3 - 2
ERI
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ERI
2 - 6
WAR
19%
20%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 2
ERI
72%
16%
12%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Maldon & Tiptree
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
4 - 2
NEE
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
TIL
0 - 1
MAL
41%
25%
35%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 1
THU
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
MAL
1 - 2
VCD
38%
23%
39%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
SOH
4 - 2
MAL
64%
19%
17%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |