Erdi VSE vs Paksi SE II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
26.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
14º
9º
34
2º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Erdi VSE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NAG
4 - 0
ERD
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
ERD
1 - 4
FCD
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UFC
3 - 1
ERD
10%
15%
75%
|
35 | 11 | 24 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GVC
2 - 2
ERD
24%
21%
56%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ERD
1 - 2
PTE
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Paksi SE II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAK
1 - 4
KAP
33%
23%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
MHC
6 - 1
PAK
13%
16%
71%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -3 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
7 - 0
DUN
48%
22%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +3 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
IVA
4 - 3
PAK
84%
11%
6%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
PAK
4 - 3
MTK
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |