CF Epila vs Morata CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Epila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CDC
2 - 3
EPI
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
EPI
1 - 1
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
EPI
0 - 2
LAA
26%
24%
50%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +5 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ICF
4 - 2
EPI
67%
19%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
EPI
1 - 1
CDE
57%
22%
21%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morata CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CDM
3 - 0
CAL
50%
22%
27%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CDU
3 - 1
CDM
67%
20%
14%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
CDM
1 - 1
UDC
21%
24%
55%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CDC
6 - 2
CDM
47%
24%
29%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CDM
6 - 1
ADR
43%
24%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |