CS Emelec vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
EME
1 - 1
QUI
34%
29%
37%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2003 |
EME
3 - 1
RIV
19%
24%
57%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ESP
3 - 0
EME
47%
28%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
EME
2 - 0
MAN
44%
28%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2003 |
EME
0 - 4
CAL
27%
28%
45%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
CAL
1 - 0
LIB
61%
21%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPO
83%
12%
5%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 1
GUA
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
RIV
3 - 1
LIB
72%
16%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
TAC
0 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |