Ely Rangers vs Caerleon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ely Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
ERA
0 - 4
CAR
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
BFC
2 - 3
ERA
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
DIN
0 - 5
ERA
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
ERA
1 - 3
GOY
11%
17%
73%
|
27 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
TAF
0 - 0
ERA
77%
15%
9%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caerleon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 3
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2010 |
GOY
1 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
6%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 0
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
PON
1 - 1
CAR
68%
20%
12%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
BFC
36%
25%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |