Elverum vs Lillestrom II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elverum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
FOL
6 - 0
ELV
79%
14%
7%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
ELV
1 - 3
OSO
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
NYB
3 - 1
ELV
79%
14%
8%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
ELV
1 - 5
ULL
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -3 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
GJO
4 - 1
ELV
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lillestrom II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 2
DRO
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
0 - 4
LIL
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
6 - 1
SKJ
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2004 |
EID
3 - 6
LIL
40%
23%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2004 |
LIL
7 - 1
NFC
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |