Elpidiense vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elpidiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
RCA
3 - 1
EPD
64%
21%
16%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
EPD
1 - 2
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LAQ
4 - 0
EPD
78%
15%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
EPD
0 - 2
LUC
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
LUC
0 - 1
EPD
51%
25%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
REC
1 - 2
CHI
32%
27%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
ASB
1 - 0
REC
21%
24%
55%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
REC
1 - 0
MDC
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAM
3 - 1
REC
64%
20%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
REC
2 - 0
UST
53%
25%
22%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |