Elche vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.6%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 3
ELC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ELC
1 - 1
REC
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
GIM
1 - 0
ELC
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
ELC
4 - 3
ALB
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
MUR
1 - 0
ELC
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 0
RCF
54%
24%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
POL
0 - 3
RMC
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 0
LEV
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
RMC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 0
EIB
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |