Elche vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
13.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ELC
0 - 0
HER
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1942 |
ALC
3 - 2
ELC
60%
19%
21%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1942 |
ELC
1 - 0
MUR
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1942 |
JFC
4 - 1
ELC
69%
16%
15%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 1
SDC
36%
23%
42%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1930 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAR
34%
25%
42%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1930 |
ELC
3 - 0
LOR
80%
12%
8%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1930 |
UDA
3 - 0
LOR
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1930 |
IMP
3 - 1
LOR
28%
24%
48%
|
47 | 27 | 20 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 1930 |
LOR
3 - 0
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | +2 |