Elche vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
13.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ELD
0 - 0
ELC
74%
14%
12%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
HEL
4 - 2
ELC
75%
13%
11%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ELC
3 - 0
ALI
63%
19%
19%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
LOR
5 - 1
ELC
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ELC
2 - 1
SOR
72%
16%
13%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1954 |
ASP
2 - 1
ALI
61%
19%
20%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1954 |
LOR
5 - 0
ASP
67%
17%
17%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 1954 |
ASP
3 - 0
SOR
66%
17%
17%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 1954 |
ALZ
6 - 1
ASP
59%
19%
22%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 1954 |
ASP
2 - 0
CFC
63%
18%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |