Elche vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
6%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.4%
12%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 3
ELC
83%
10%
7%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
ELC
3 - 0
LEV
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +3 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
HEL
6 - 0
ELC
84%
10%
7%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
CAT
6 - 0
ELC
69%
17%
15%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ELC
2 - 0
MHN
80%
12%
9%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ASP
3 - 1
CAT
51%
21%
29%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1952 |
MHN
1 - 1
ASP
63%
18%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1952 |
ASP
1 - 2
ALB
45%
22%
34%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
NAV
2 - 0
ASP
57%
19%
23%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 1952 |
ASP
2 - 2
ALI
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | +1 |