Ilicitano vs Villarreal C analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 1
ELC
10%
18%
73%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ELC
1 - 0
BOR
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
PAT
0 - 0
ELC
18%
22%
60%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ELC
3 - 1
CRE
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
OSA
4 - 2
ELC
34%
27%
40%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 1
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SIL
0 - 4
VIL
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
TOR
69%
18%
14%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALZ
2 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAG
2 - 0
VIL
49%
27%
24%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |