Ilicitano vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
2º
13º
10º
28
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
ELC
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ATZ
3 - 1
ELC
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ELC
0 - 0
GAN
47%
24%
28%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
PCF
2 - 0
ELC
41%
24%
35%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ELC
2 - 1
CAS
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
JOV
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
ACE
39%
27%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SIL
2 - 2
HER
47%
27%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
TCF
34%
27%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 1
HER
50%
25%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |