Ilicitano vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
DEN
2 - 1
ELC
47%
28%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
ELC
4 - 0
CPO
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
ALB
1 - 1
ELC
48%
26%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
ELC
1 - 1
CAN
69%
20%
11%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
CDC
0 - 1
ELC
20%
28%
52%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
ASP
1 - 0
UDC
35%
29%
36%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1990 |
JAV
4 - 0
ASP
51%
26%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1990 |
ASP
0 - 1
PEG
61%
23%
16%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1990 |
LOL
1 - 0
ASP
61%
23%
16%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1990 |
ASP
1 - 0
MON
56%
25%
19%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |