El Linqueño vs Academia Mascherano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Linqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 0
LIN
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2021 |
COL
0 - 2
LIN
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
0 - 2
COL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 0
RIV
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AJM
1 - 3
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Academia Mascherano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
AJM
0 - 2
COL
24%
21%
55%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
3 - 1
AJM
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
AJM
1 - 3
LIN
42%
23%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
AJM
0 - 2
RIV
24%
22%
54%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 1
AJM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |