Poli Ejido vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
26.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poli Ejido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAL
0 - 1
POL
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
POL
0 - 0
REC
29%
28%
42%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
GIM
2 - 0
POL
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
POL
2 - 0
ALB
36%
29%
35%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 0
POL
56%
25%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
RMC
0 - 0
LEV
37%
27%
37%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
LOR
2 - 1
RMC
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 0
EIB
47%
28%
25%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
VAD
1 - 0
RMC
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
RMC
1 - 1
SPO
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |