Eik Tønsberg vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
5º
14º
6º
20
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 55 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 51 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 42 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 38 |
5º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
19 | 37 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 35 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 33 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 30 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 29 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 29 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 23 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95.5% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eik Tønsberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
LYS
1 - 2
ETO
40%
25%
36%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
ETO
1 - 1
BRA
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
ETO
48%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
ETO
0 - 0
LYS
52%
22%
27%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
JER
4 - 1
ETO
45%
24%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
FKA
6 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
19%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
POR
1 - 0
FKA
37%
25%
39%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
FKA
1 - 1
ETO
48%
23%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
VAR
2 - 4
FKA
36%
25%
40%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
LYS
2 - 1
FKA
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |