Tacna Heroica vs FBC Club Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
DET
0 - 3
EGB
14%
21%
66%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 1
DET
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 8 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
EGB
34%
21%
45%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
EGB
1 - 0
VAL
5%
12%
82%
|
14 | 70 | 56 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
HUA
6 - 2
EGB
88%
10%
3%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | -1 |
Matches
FBC Club Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
3 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
FCA
34%
21%
45%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
1 - 1
EGB
34%
21%
45%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ANG
1 - 5
FCA
23%
20%
58%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 4
FCA
83%
13%
5%
|
13 | 64 | 51 | 0 |