Tacna Heroica vs Comerciantes FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
48.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+197%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacna Heroica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
CAN
2 - 2
EGB
72%
18%
11%
|
24 | 57 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
EGB
4 - 0
SFC
21%
25%
54%
|
21 | 65 | 44 | +3 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 0
SAM
17%
22%
62%
|
20 | 61 | 41 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
COM
3 - 1
EGB
79%
14%
8%
|
20 | 65 | 45 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
EGB
2 - 0
LOS
15%
21%
64%
|
19 | 58 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Comerciantes FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
COM
2 - 1
COM
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
LOS
0 - 0
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
COM
1 - 1
UCV
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 3
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
CAN
1 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |