EF Concepción A vs Moratalaz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+69%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ROB
2 - 1
EFC
67%
18%
14%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 2
ROB
30%
25%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
SFN
2 - 2
EFC
69%
19%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 2
EFC
73%
16%
12%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 1
ARA
19%
21%
59%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Moratalaz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
5 - 0
UNI
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
MOR
52%
21%
27%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 1
SHO
59%
21%
20%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 1
MOR
29%
22%
49%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
SSR
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |