EF Concepción A vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
39.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+88%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
2 - 1
EFC
54%
23%
23%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
EFC
0 - 2
SHO
65%
19%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 1
EFC
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
EFC
2 - 3
PER
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BPI
0 - 3
EFC
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ARA
5 - 1
TRC
47%
23%
29%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
DOS
80%
14%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CAN
0 - 3
ARA
60%
22%
18%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ARA
0 - 1
SHO
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 0
ARA
48%
24%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |