EF Concepción A vs Aravaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+103%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EF Concepción A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
EFC
2 - 1
COS
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LRZ
5 - 2
EFC
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
EFC
1 - 1
RSD
51%
23%
27%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
TRS
0 - 2
EFC
59%
22%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
EFC
1 - 5
PER
43%
24%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aravaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 1
LRZ
50%
24%
27%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RSD
1 - 0
ARA
19%
24%
58%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 0
TRS
78%
15%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
PER
2 - 0
ARA
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
ARA
0 - 1
SIE
66%
19%
14%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |