Ecuador U20 vs Catar U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ecuador U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
0 - 0
ECU
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 1
CHN
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
ECU
2 - 2
PER
42%
25%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2014 |
PER
3 - 0
ECU
41%
25%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
URU
1 - 0
ECU
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Catar U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
QAT
88%
9%
2%
|
41 | 86 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 4
ESP
9%
18%
73%
|
41 | 80 | 39 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
QAT
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
QAT
0 - 5
ALG
31%
25%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
QAT
1 - 4
MTN
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | -1 |