Echallens vs Naters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DUD
1 - 0
ECH
42%
24%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ECH
2 - 1
FCM
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
STA
2 - 2
ECH
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ECH
1 - 1
LAU
53%
22%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
YVE
2 - 2
ECH
48%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
MEY
1 - 1
NAT
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
NAT
1 - 2
DUD
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
FCM
0 - 1
NAT
34%
25%
42%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
NAT
0 - 4
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LAU
2 - 1
NAT
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |