Echallens vs Etoile Carouge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Echallens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
BUL
0 - 1
ECH
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
ECH
1 - 1
TPA
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
ECH
5 - 0
FCS
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
ECH
41%
25%
34%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
ECH
0 - 1
FCM
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Etoile Carouge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
ETO
2 - 3
DUD
75%
17%
8%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BAU
2 - 0
ETO
29%
28%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
ETO
1 - 1
SEN
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MEY
1 - 0
ETO
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
ETO
2 - 1
BUL
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |