EC São Bernardo vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
EC São Bernardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
BER
57%
25%
18%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
BER
0 - 2
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
MAN
0 - 0
BER
27%
24%
49%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 2
BER
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BER
0 - 0
DES
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
CAP
3 - 0
MON
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
MON
3 - 0
ATI
44%
26%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
MON
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
MON
45%
25%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
MON
1 - 1
TAB
57%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |