Nova Cidade vs Serra Macaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Cidade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OLA
2 - 2
NCI
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
NCI
1 - 3
NOV
14%
19%
67%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ANG
0 - 1
NCI
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
NCI
1 - 0
AFC
21%
21%
58%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SAO
1 - 0
NCI
58%
21%
21%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Serra Macaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
SFC
46%
23%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
ANG
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AFC
6 - 1
SER
52%
23%
25%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SER
2 - 1
SAO
41%
24%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
SER
0 - 1
GOY
37%
26%
37%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |