Bahía vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
CSA
1 - 2
BAH
26%
28%
45%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 1
ATM
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
GOI
4 - 3
BAH
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 1
PAL
21%
26%
54%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
3 - 1
BAH
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 0
CRZ
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2019 |
SAO
1 - 0
VAS
50%
27%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
VAS
1 - 1
GOI
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
FLA
4 - 4
VAS
81%
14%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CSA
0 - 3
VAS
25%
29%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |