Bahía vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
3.9%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CRB
0 - 1
BAH
30%
26%
44%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BAH
9%
19%
72%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 4
BAH
10%
19%
71%
|
86 | 44 | 42 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
3 - 0
ARN
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
JAC
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 2
JEC
66%
20%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 0
JEQ
55%
23%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 0
JAC
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
JAC
1 - 0
BAH
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |