Bahía vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CRZ
1 - 1
BAH
56%
25%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAH
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
BAH
2 - 3
SCI
39%
29%
33%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2019 |
BAH
1 - 2
CEA
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 1
BAH
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
CHA
0 - 3
SAO
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
ATM
0 - 2
CHA
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
CHA
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
CHA
2 - 2
GOI
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
PAL
1 - 0
CHA
82%
13%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |