Eastern Suburbs vs Tasman United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Eastern Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
TEA
0 - 0
EAS
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
SOU
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 0
WAI
55%
24%
22%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
HAW
4 - 0
EAS
26%
28%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
EAS
1 - 0
HAW
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Tasman United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TAS
1 - 3
WAI
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
HAW
2 - 3
TAS
39%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TAS
1 - 3
HAW
36%
26%
38%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
WEL
1 - 1
TAS
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
AUC
4 - 0
TAS
73%
17%
10%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | +1 |