Dynamite vs Cavaly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.4%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
26.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 0
DAC
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ASP
0 - 0
DAC
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DAC
0 - 2
VIO
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DAC
1 - 1
RAC
47%
28%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAP
1 - 1
DAC
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2009 |
CAV
1 - 0
CAP
46%
31%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
RAC
2 - 1
CAV
53%
27%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
CAV
2 - 0
GON
43%
29%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ASP
0 - 3
CAV
39%
30%
31%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
TEM
0 - 1
CAV
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |