Durango vs UA Chihuahua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
TIG
1 - 1
DUR
73%
18%
9%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 2
CIU
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
DUR
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
DUR
0 - 1
TIJ
46%
24%
31%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
ZAC
2 - 2
DUR
58%
23%
19%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
UA Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
4 - 1
DOR
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MZA
2 - 0
CHI
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 0
SOL
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
REY
3 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 3
TIG
20%
25%
55%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |