Durango vs UA Chihuahua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
VAQ
2 - 0
DUR
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DUR
1 - 1
TEP
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CIM
0 - 2
DUR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 1
AGU
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 0
DUR
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
UA Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
1 - 0
BLN
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
VAQ
3 - 1
CHI
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 1
MUR
32%
26%
43%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TEP
1 - 0
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAC
51%
23%
25%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +2 |