Durango vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
2 - 2
VER
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
MER
2 - 1
DUR
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
DUR
3 - 1
DOR
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2010 |
LEO
3 - 1
DUR
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
DUR
4 - 2
ALT
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
MER
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
DOR
2 - 1
ORI
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
ORI
0 - 0
LEO
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
ALT
1 - 3
ORI
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
ORI
2 - 1
GUE
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |