Durango vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
UAT
1 - 2
DUR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 0
REB
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
LEO
0 - 2
DUR
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DUR
3 - 5
PUM
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 0
LOB
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 0
GUE
49%
27%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
VER
1 - 0
ORI
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 1
UDG
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
IRA
1 - 0
ORI
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 3
NEC
16%
26%
58%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |