Durango vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
29.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
OBR
1 - 1
DUR
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
DUR
2 - 4
TOR
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
SNL
4 - 0
DUR
73%
17%
11%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
DUR
0 - 0
COB
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
GUE
1 - 0
DUR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2005 |
ORI
3 - 3
CAO
35%
25%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
TOR
1 - 1
ORI
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2005 |
ORI
2 - 0
TAB
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
ALT
1 - 1
ORI
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ORI
0 - 1
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |