Durango vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
COB
2 - 1
DUR
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
DUR
3 - 3
MEX
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2003 |
MER
2 - 2
DUR
62%
21%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
DUR
2 - 1
TOR
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
ORI
1 - 1
DOR
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 0
ORI
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
ORI
2 - 0
LEO
25%
25%
51%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
TRO
0 - 1
ORI
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +2 |