Durango vs Murciélagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
CAC
0 - 1
DUR
28%
26%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
DUR
1 - 1
LOR
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
REY
1 - 1
DUR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
DUR
2 - 2
CUR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
TEC
3 - 1
DUR
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
VAQ
67%
20%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TEP
0 - 0
MUR
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
4 - 1
CIM
52%
24%
23%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 1
MUR
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALT
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |