Durango vs Murciélagos F.C. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
CSL
1 - 0
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DUR
1 - 3
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
DUR
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DUR
3 - 2
CSI
43%
24%
34%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
DUR
76%
16%
9%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Murciélagos F.C.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 1
LEO
40%
25%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2016 |
GUA
5 - 4
MUR
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
3 - 3
TIJ
37%
25%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
MIN
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2016 |
MZA
2 - 0
MUR
69%
18%
12%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |