Durango vs Murciélagos F.C. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
TIJ
4 - 1
DUR
49%
24%
26%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
1 - 2
ZAC
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
CIM
1 - 1
DUR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DUR
3 - 0
CSL
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +5 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TEP
4 - 1
DUR
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Murciélagos F.C.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
MUR
3 - 1
DOR
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
MZA
3 - 0
MUR
68%
19%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
SOL
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REY
0 - 2
MUR
54%
23%
23%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MUR
0 - 0
CHI
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |