Durango vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
SAG
1 - 2
DUR
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
DUR
1 - 1
UAT
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
JAG
1 - 1
DUR
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
DUR
2 - 1
TIJ
33%
28%
40%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LEO
2 - 2
DUR
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 0
TIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
DOR
2 - 1
LOB
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LOB
3 - 2
GUE
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
MON
2 - 1
LOB
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
LOB
1 - 0
TIG
67%
20%
14%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |