Durango vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
NEC
2 - 1
DUR
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
DUR
2 - 2
DOR
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
2 - 1
DUR
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ORI
1 - 0
DUR
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DUR
0 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
4 - 0
GUE
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
VER
2 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
IRA
3 - 1
UDG
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2009 |
SAG
2 - 2
IRA
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
IRA
0 - 2
IND
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -2 |