Durango vs Indios Chihuahua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
DUR
0 - 0
SAG
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
QRO
1 - 0
DUR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
DUR
0 - 0
TIG
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
TAM
0 - 0
DUR
38%
27%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
DUR
1 - 0
UAT
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Indios Chihuahua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
QRO
3 - 1
IND
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2008 |
IND
0 - 1
TIG
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
TAM
3 - 3
IND
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
IND
0 - 0
UAT
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
CSL
4 - 3
IND
36%
27%
38%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |