Durango vs Deportivo Tepic JAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CIM
0 - 2
DUR
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
DUR
0 - 1
AGU
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
0 - 0
DUR
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
DUR
3 - 0
COR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CIU
2 - 3
DUR
23%
26%
52%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Tepic JAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TEP
0 - 0
VAQ
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
TEP
1 - 0
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CIM
1 - 1
TEP
70%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
TEP
5 - 1
AGU
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +3 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ALT
2 - 2
TEP
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | +2 |