Duque de Caxias vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VOL
0 - 0
DUQ
38%
25%
37%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 1
OLA
51%
23%
27%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
3 - 0
DUQ
33%
25%
42%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 2
FRI
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
3 - 0
DUQ
85%
11%
4%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 2
AUD
63%
20%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 1
MAC
37%
25%
38%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 1
MAD
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
FLA
16%
22%
61%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
RES
1 - 1
MAD
48%
23%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |