Duque de Caxias vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
17.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
ANG
0 - 3
DUQ
24%
24%
52%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ESE
0 - 0
DUQ
15%
21%
63%
|
51 | 9 | 42 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
DUQ
0 - 3
MES
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
BON
2 - 3
CFZ
58%
22%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
BAN
1 - 1
BON
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
MES
1 - 0
BON
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
BON
2 - 1
ANG
69%
18%
13%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | +1 |